Tag: affordability

Furniture Demand Faces the Elasticity Test, but Housing Turnover and Home Price Appreciation Hold the Key

February 13, 2026 by Marius Morar

With tariff-driven price increases now flowing through the furniture industry, the question of how much demand destruction higher prices will cause has become increasingly relevant. Over the last year, incremental tariffs on imports from China, India, Vietnam, and other Asian countries have pushed furniture prices materially higher. The CPI reported a 4.0% year-over-year price increase for furniture and bedding in January 2026, accelerating for two consecutive months from an average of 2.9% in October and November...
Housing Policy Takes Center Stage… Carrots and Sticks Galore!

January 16, 2026 by Alan Ratner

It’s been a dizzying start to the year for the homebuilding industry. Since October, President Trump, FHFA Director Pulte and other White House officials have been meeting with homebuilding executives to discuss the country’s housing affordability crisis and what steps the industry and government can take to relieve this burden on potential homebuyers...
Cautiously Optimistic on the Main Course for 2026… with a Side of Wage Garnishment

January 08, 2026 by Ryan McKeveny

Looking ahead to 2026 for the housing market and its various subsectors, there are several reasons for optimism. We enter 2026 with mortgage rates at 6.2%, down 75 basis points from a year ago and near the lowest levels since 3Q22. Combined with home price growth that has lagged income growth over the last year – a trend we expect to continue...
Student Loan Debt Looming as Affordability Constraints Stretch Further

July 13, 2023 by Alan Ratner

Given a combination of the recent increase in mortgage rates and a reacceleration in home prices over the last three months, the current P&I payment on an average new home stands at roughly $3,000 per month – up nearly 70% from two years ago and 25% above trend line...
Are Home Prices Being Viewed With Rose Colored Glasses?

November 02, 2022 by Ryan McKeveny

Earlier this week, CoreLogic released its preliminary national home price index related to September home closings, showing a 50 basis point sequential decline on top of July and August’s decreases of 60 and 100 basis points, respectively. Given the natural lag between pending and closed transactions, the trends imply that underlying price pressure...
Slowing Demand Driving For-Sale Inventory Higher Despite Decline in New Listings

October 12, 2022 by Kevin Kaczmarek

CoreLogic recently released detailed home price appreciation data for the month of August that showed prices declined on a sequential basis for the second straight month. The 1.2% decline over the two-month period is the first nationwide home price reversal since the Great Financial Crisis. As a reminder...
FHA Borrowers Cry "Uncle" for Downpayment Help

August 25, 2022 by Kevin Kaczmarek

Entry-level credits are facing a unique set of macro circumstances that have made it increasingly challenging to navigate the home purchase market. Prospective homebuyers are now having to factor in higher monthly mortgage payments, leaving less room for other expenses, while at the same time higher inflation eats away at how much...
Share of Homebuyers With Weaker Credit Profiles Bouncing Back, But Not Everywhere

February 03, 2022 by Kevin Kaczmarek

As we noted in our latest mortgage survey and November newsletterlower-quality credits have been gaining share in the home purchase market and likely will continue to do so, barring a sudden resurgence in refinance activity. Some may ask how this can be the case given daily media headlines describing red-hot housing markets and affordability crises. Before addressing that, we should examine some facts...
 
Is the "Pig in the Python" Back?

June 24, 2021 by Ivy Zelman & Rachel Rockey

In 2009, when distressed activity was top of mind, we were vocal in our concern that the buildup of foreclosure moratoriums was portraying a false sense of security at a time when industry participants and investors were hoping for a bottoming out in the market. Our views were justified as...
A Single-Family Buy-Versus-Rent Comparison Like Never Before

May 25, 2021 by Dennis McGill & Alan Ratner

Historically, buy-versus-rent calculations have been widely utilized to assess housing affordability, but we have always struggled with the limitations around real world comparability. Data constraints have led many to compare different asset classes (single-family versus multi-family)...