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Tag: housing

With Inflation the Topic Du Jour, Housing Will Play a Key Factor Moving Forward

July 14, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

In her testimony to the House Financial Services Committee earlier this week, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen noted that “the [Federal Open Market Committee] will be monitoring inflation developments closely in the months ahead.” The cautionary ...

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macro housing

3% GDP Growth Elusive for Forever-Optimistic Economists

July 14, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Having the responsibility of consistently predicting the future in a public forum is not for the faint of heart. Thus, we do not envy economists that are forced to opine on such far-reaching themes as energy, international trade, the consumer ...

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macro housing

If a Recession is Around the Corner, You Won’t Be Able to Blame Housing

June 30, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Over the last 30 years, investment in residential structures has accounted for approximately 4% of national gross domestic product (GDP). This component of GDP as defined by the Bureau of Economic Analysis covers new construction of single-family ...

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macro housing

House “Flipping” Hints at Redevelopment of Stale Existing Home Inventory

June 16, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Last week, ATTOM Data Solutions released its quarterly Home Flipping Report, meant to quantify homes that were purchased and sold within a 12-month period in an arms-length transaction. Historically, we believe that house flipping has carried ...

The Paradox of Household Formation and New Construction Supply

May 19, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

We utilize a proprietary tracking of residential electric customers to supplement our views on household formation, which has proven critical to our overall housing thesis during periods of volatile government data. ...

Unique Beige Book Index a Better Read on Economy than GDP?

April 21, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

In 2016, real GDP increased 1.6%, tying 2011 as the weakest growth of the last six years. At the same time, the S&P 500 equity index was up a strong 10%, the annual unemployment rate was the lowest level since 2007 and consumer confidence was ...

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macro housing

Amidst a Lost Decade for Housing, What Does Future Hold?

April 07, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Every quarter, we publish in-depth macro housing forecasts and explanations covering single-family construction, multi-family construction, the existing housing market, home improvements and mortgage finance. With the release ...

Urban-Focused Multi-Family Construction Creating Longer Tail Risk of Supply

April 07, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Unlike in the single-family market where permits and starts are largely reflective of current demand, on the multi-family side, permits and starts are influenced by current demand but they are still speculative in nature given that the product ...

Multi-Family New Construction Pipeline Running at Highest Level Since 1974

January 13, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Our monthly survey of apartment owners and managers canvasses 1.6 million apartment units, nearly four times the size of the public apartment REITs. Our survey is nationally representative, covering both urban and suburban locations and various ...

Mortgage Interest Deduction: At Risk or Politically Untouchable?

December 30, 2016 by Zelman & Associates

With the incoming Trump administration and the Republican control of Congress, the country appears to be on the verge of tax reform, both for individuals and corporations. For individuals, tax reform is typically centered on marginal income ...