Exclusive insights and analyses from our industry-leading research team
March 08, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
Historically, the housing and auto markets have been highly linked given the big-ticket nature of the consumer purchases and the dependence on credit for the majority of buyers. For example, from 1990-2016, auto sales and housing starts have ...
Filed Under
macro housingmortgage
February 22, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
As detailed last year, the strongest population growth of late according to the Census Bureau was in Nevada, Idaho, Utah, Arizona and Florida. Above-average growth in these states is likely not surprising ...
Filed Under
demographicsmillennials
February 22, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
Like the three years prior, in 2018, approximately 45% of the $1.2 trillion of purchase mortgages originated was covered by mortgage insurance provided by private entities or the government via the FHA, VA or USDA programs. This suggests an ...
Filed Under
entry-levelmortgage
February 08, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
In 2018, we estimate that the monthly payment for a typical entry-level homebuyer increased 11% year over year, inclusive of principal, interest and mortgage insurance. The spike was driven by an approximate 40 basis point increase in 30-year ...
Filed Under
affordabilityentry-levelmortgage
January 25, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
As of the latest reading from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, $1.4 trillion of student debt was outstanding in 3Q18, up 6.3% year over year, outpacing the increase in total consumer debt for the 57th consecutive quarter. Said differently, ...
Filed Under
student debt
January 11, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
In its most recent monthly release for November 2018, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that the median price for existing home closings was $257,700, bringing the year-to-date figure to $257,500. With approximately 40% of ...
Filed Under
affordabilityhome pricing
January 11, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
With total home closings estimated to have declined 2% in 2018, the first contraction since 2011, and inventory higher on a year-over-year basis for the first time since 2014, the home price appreciation outlook is coming under greater scrutiny ...
Filed Under
home pricingsurvey
January 11, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
Last week, United Van Lines, the largest moving company in the country, released its annual National Movers Survey, which provides insight into state-to-state moves. Although professional long-distance moves likely skew toward single-family ...
Filed Under
demographicsmacro housing
January 11, 2019 by Zelman & Associates
According to Random Lengths, framing lumber prices in December were down 22% year over year and 41% from the monthly peak in June. Similarly, its structural panel composite index declined 14% year over year and stood 35% lower than the near-term ...
Filed Under
homebuildingmacro housing
December 28, 2018 by Zelman & Associates
Following the passage of income tax reform a year ago, we detailed the relative winners and losers and the expected impact on housing demand. At that time, it was estimated that the largest shares ...
Filed Under
demographicsmacro housing
affordabilityapartmentsbaby boomersbuild-for-rentconstruction lendingdemographicsentry-levelexisting home saleshome improvementhome pricinghomebuildinghomeownershiphousehold formationhousinghousing startsinstitutional investorsinterest ratesmacro housingmillennialsmortgagemortgage ratesnew home salesreal estate servicesrefinancesg&asingle-family rentalstocksstudent debtsupplysurvey
