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Tag: macro housing

As Consumer Debt Hits New Peak, It’s Not the Young Flashing Warning Signs

December 28, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Once a quarter, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York releases data on household debt and credit, which is often referenced to understand total leverage across the consumer, including details across the major sources: mortgages, student debt, ...

Why are So Many People Just Staying Put?

December 14, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

According to our analysis of recently-released Census Bureau data, approximately 10% of current householders moved over the year ended 1Q18, down from 11% in the year-ago period and continuing a multi-decade decline. For perspective, this share ...

Is Fear of Homeowners Trapped by Low Mortgage Rate Justified?

November 30, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

According to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey, the effective rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage bottomed at approximately 3.30% in late-2012. From 2012-17, the rate was below 4.00% in 208 out of 313 weeks, or 66% of the time. With the latest ...

Can We Trust What Senior Loan Officers are Telling the Fed?

November 16, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Once a quarter, the Federal Reserve conducts a survey of senior loan officers at large domestic banks and U.S. branches of foreign banks. The results of the October 2018 survey were just released, with approximately 65-70 responses received ...

With the Fed in Focus, What Can We Learn from Historical Actions?

November 02, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Thus far in 2018, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has increased approximately 50 basis points year over year, putting the year on pace to have the highest borrowing cost since 2010. According to Google Trends, an index tracking how ...

Investors, Executives Debate Housing Uncertainty at 11th Annual Housing Summit

October 05, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Last week in Boston, Zelman & Associates hosted its 11th Annual Housing Summit, welcoming over 600 institutional investors and industry executives. Over the course of two days, the most important aspects of the housing outlook were detailed ...

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macro housing

Worried About Boomers Selling? – Busting the “McMansion” Myth

August 10, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

As of 2017, we estimate that there were approximately 78 million single-family detached homes in the country, of which 65 million were owner-occupied. We further estimate that Baby Boomers – defined as people born from 1946-64 – owned almost ...

Don’t Let Fiction Override Facts When it Comes to Millennials, Births and Housing

July 13, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

In late May, the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) released preliminary 2017 birth data. The totals were surprisingly weak after six years of strength among key age cohorts. Naturally, the weakness spurred numerous ...

Real Estate is Local, but the Macro Can Make or Break Your Business

July 13, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

All real estate is local. That is a truism rarely doubted. It is often meant to convey that location matters more than most else and can often overcome other challenges. Taken further, many housing market executives spend an exorbitant amount ...

2018 Economic Activity on Pace for Biggest Upside Surprise This Cycle

July 13, 2018 by Zelman & Associates

Economists have the unenviable task of predicting the future across a wide host of sectors, handicapping international and political influences along the way. The crystal ball requirement obviously leaves the profession with a mixed track record ...

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Filed Under
macro housing