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Tag: macro housing

Questions Arise as Residential Investment in GDP Hits Softest Growth Since 2Q11

November 03, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its preliminary estimate of 3Q17 GDP growth. As measured directly, investment in residential structures is on pace to average approximately $730 billion this year, accounting for almost ...

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macro housing

Do You Realize the Unreliability of Widely-Cited Construction Spending Statistics?

October 06, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Every month, the Census Bureau publishes The Value of Construction Put in Place Survey, which is intended to provide monthly estimates of the total dollar value of construction work done in the United States. As it relates to the residential ...

Highlights from Zelman & Associates’ 10th Annual Housing Summit

September 22, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Last week, our firm celebrated its 10th Annual Housing Summit – an event that welcomes hundreds of our institutional investor clients and leading industry executives operating across all sectors tied to the housing market. Over the two-day ...

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macro housing

Are Buffett, Japanese Companies the Catalysts to Unlock Innovation in Construction?

September 22, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Earlier this month, we discussed how labor constraints have resulted in construction cycle times becoming extended to the second longest level among expansion periods dating back to 1990, trailing only 2005 when industry ...

Could Tight For-Sale Inventory Depress Consumer Enthusiasm Shortly?

August 25, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Yesterday, the National Association of Realtors released its estimate for July existing home closings. Adjusted for seasonality, transactions were up 2% year over year, leaving the trailing three-month average increase at a similar 2% level ...

While Consumer Wage Growth Disappoints, Net Income Accelerates

August 25, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Almost a year ago in an analysis titled, “Entry-Level Wage Growth Not Great, but Continuing to Improve”, we offered a relatively optimistic outlook for entry-level incomes with the growth rate improving for two key indicators in 2016 compared ...

Consumer Intentions Contradict “Bad Time to Buy” Sentiment: Which to Trust?

August 11, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Earlier this week, Fannie Mae released the results of its monthly consumer survey focused on housing-related consumer sentiment. According to the July feedback, “the net share of Americans who say it is a good time to buy a home fell 7 percentage ...

With Inflation the Topic Du Jour, Housing Will Play a Key Factor Moving Forward

July 14, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

In her testimony to the House Financial Services Committee earlier this week, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen noted that “the [Federal Open Market Committee] will be monitoring inflation developments closely in the months ahead.” The cautionary ...

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macro housing

3% GDP Growth Elusive for Forever-Optimistic Economists

July 14, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Having the responsibility of consistently predicting the future in a public forum is not for the faint of heart. Thus, we do not envy economists that are forced to opine on such far-reaching themes as energy, international trade, the consumer ...

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macro housing

If a Recession is Around the Corner, You Won’t Be Able to Blame Housing

June 30, 2017 by Zelman & Associates

Over the last 30 years, investment in residential structures has accounted for approximately 4% of national gross domestic product (GDP). This component of GDP as defined by the Bureau of Economic Analysis covers new construction of single-family ...

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Filed Under
macro housing