The Zelman Buzz

Exclusive insights and analyses from our industry-leading research team

Zelman Beige Book Index Provides Some Comfort Around Recessionary Fears

June 14, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

Eight times a year, the Federal Reserve publishes its Beige Book, a qualitative assessment of economic conditions around the country based on conversations with business executives. Incorporating publications dating back to 1970, we have constructed ...

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Filed Under | macro housing

Will Housing Demand Fall Off a Cliff as the Baby Boomers Age?

June 14, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

The Baby Boomers are commonly accepted as the generation that was born from 1946-64. For that 19-year period, there were 75.8 million births in the United States, which was an astounding 53% greater than the preceding 19 years – hence the generation’s ...

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Filed Under | baby boomersdemographics

What Do Housing Unit Estimates by State Tell About Demographic Trends?

May 31, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

As most recently discussed in December, we have a proprietary process to analyze and estimate national housing units, households and vacancies, including our unique incorporation of residential electric customer ...

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Filed Under | demographicsmacro housing

Core Births Drop Again as Young Adults Delay Life Events

May 17, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

According to preliminary estimates released by the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), national births declined 1.7% in 2018 from 2017. This marks the tenth decline out of the last 11 years, leaving births 12% lower than their ...

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Filed Under | demographics

As Housing Sentiment and Actions Often Contradict, What Factors Matter Most?

May 17, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

Last week, Fannie Mae released the results of its monthly Home Purchase Sentiment Index, which is “designed to track consumers’ housing-related attitudes, intentions and perceptions.” As a research firm, we always find value in surveys, assuming ...

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Filed Under | macro housingmortgage rates

Zillow Has Ambitious iBuyer Goals, but Its Own Price Index Missed Market Shift

May 17, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

With more than 180 million unique monthly users of Zillow’s website or mobile app, the brand is clearly a dominant force with consumers. While it has historically monetized this audience indirectly through advertising sold to real estate professionals, ...

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Filed Under | home pricingsurvey

Income Analysis Suggests Future Firepower for Homeownership

May 03, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

For 1Q19, the Census Bureau’s Housing Vacancy and Homeownership Survey (HVS) estimated the national homeownership rate at 64.2%, unchanged from 1Q18. This is the first time out of the last eight quarters that homeownership did not increase ...

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Filed Under | demographicshomeownership

Where are the iBuyers Heading Next?

April 19, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

In recent years, iBuyers have gained notable attention and become a widespread topic of debate. Effectively the new-age version of “We Buy Ugly Houses”, which has been around since 1989, iBuyers charge sellers 7-10% of their home value in exchange ...

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Filed Under | existing home salesinstitutional investorsreal estate services

Single-Family Built-to-Rent Likely Here to Stay

April 19, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

Every month, we track interest in built-to-rent construction, along with other acquisition channels, in our proprietary survey of single-family rental operators. Over the last year, interest in partnering with homebuilders on built-to-rent ...

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Filed Under | homebuildinginstitutional investorssingle-family rental

The Percentage of Construction Workers Saying “I Quit” a Sign of the Times

April 05, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

In 2018, the national unemployment rate averaged 3.9%, the first year below 4.0% since 1969, which has been a positive for wage growth and potential entry-level homebuyers. However, the other side of that coin has been a shortage of labor in ...

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Filed Under | homebuildingmacro housing