The Zelman Buzz

Exclusive insights and analyses from our industry-leading research team

Warning Lights Flashing Red for Healthcare Costs and Housing Affordability

April 05, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), personal consumption expenditures totaled $13.9 trillion in 2018, up 4.7% year over year versus a 5.0% increase in disposable income, which was aided by wage growth and tax reform. The BEA ...

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Filed Under | affordabilitymacro housing

What Exactly are Young Adults Living at Home Up To?

April 05, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

Approximately 34% of young adults are living in their parents’ home, more than at any point over the last 50-plus years, which has remarkable consequences for housing demand. While this fact is well understood and has spawned many questions ...

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Filed Under | demographicsmillennials

Is Your State Winning or Losing Among Millennial, Baby Boomer Movers?

March 22, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

In February, we analyzed state-to-state migration patterns of 25-29 year old households – the heart of the Millennial generation – showing that the catalyst to bring a young adult to a state often differs from ...

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Filed Under | baby boomersdemographicsmillennials

30-Year Olds: Still Acting Young or Growing Up?

March 22, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

In 2007, 66.1% of 30-39 year old households lived in a single-family dwelling, inclusive of owned and rental homes. This was the peak of the decade, with the share dropping each of the next eight years as the Great Recession unfolded and aftereffects ...

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Filed Under | demographicsmillennials

Single-Family Rental Sector Enjoying Sweet Spot of Growth Amidst Tight Supply

March 08, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

Public REITs Invitation Homes (INVH) and American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) are the two largest single-family landlords in the country, owning almost 81,000 and 53,000 homes, respectively. While each company controls less than 1% of national single-family ...

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Filed Under | institutional investorssingle-family rental

Strong Signal as Homeownership Rises Again Despite Transaction Weakness

March 08, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

According to the latest Housing Vacancy Survey (HVS) from the Census Bureau, the national homeownership rate improved again in 4Q18, reaching 64.8% versus 64.4% in 3Q18. This now marks the highest level since 1Q14 and represents the eighth ...

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Filed Under | homeownership

Historically Linked, Here’s Why Housing Outlook Far Superior to Autos

March 08, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

Historically, the housing and auto markets have been highly linked given the big-ticket nature of the consumer purchases and the dependence on credit for the majority of buyers. For example, from 1990-2016, auto sales and housing starts have ...

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Filed Under | macro housingmortgage

What States are Magnets for Young Adults? You Might Be Surprised

February 22, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

As detailed last year, the strongest population growth of late according to the Census Bureau was in Nevada, Idaho, Utah, Arizona and Florida. Above-average growth in these states is likely not surprising ...

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Filed Under | demographicsmillennials

Debating Risk, Merit of GSEs Accumulating Low Downpayment Market Share

February 22, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

Like the three years prior, in 2018, approximately 45% of the $1.2 trillion of purchase mortgages originated was covered by mortgage insurance provided by private entities or the government via the FHA, VA or USDA programs. This suggests an ...

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Filed Under | entry-levelmortgage

A New Analysis of Homebuyer Leverage Ratios and Entry-Level Implications

February 08, 2019 by Zelman & Associates

In 2018, we estimate that the monthly payment for a typical entry-level homebuyer increased 11% year over year, inclusive of principal, interest and mortgage insurance. The spike was driven by an approximate 40 basis point increase in 30-year ...

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Filed Under | affordabilityentry-levelmortgage